Colorado Coalition for New Energy Technologies Update
21 November 2002
·
Election
Changes Composition of Legislature’s Renewables and Energy Efficiency Caucus
·
Report
Released on Economic Benefits of Wind Energy in Colorado
·
Major
Southwest Energy Efficiency Study Released
·
Renewable
Energy Atlas of the West Now Available
·
Colorado
Industries of the Future Program Launched
·
GE Joins
ExxonMobil and Stanford University to Develop Alternative Energy Sources
·
Point-Counterpoint on Federal Climate-Change Policy
o
Washington
Post Editorial: “Green States”
o
Senator
Inhofe Op-Ed in USA Today: “Bush is Pacesetter”
·
DOE
Releases Strategic Plan for Efficiency, Renewables
·
Energy-Efficient Colorado Homebuilders Honored
·
R&D
Magazine’s “R&D 100” Awards Presented; Recipients Include Coalition Members
·
“Positioning Your Company to Access Capital” Seminar Held
·
State
Challenges, State Opportunities in Energy Policies
·
EIA Issues
Report on Renewable Energy Industry in 2001
·
EIA Issues
Annual Energy Outlook 2003
·
URS
Corporation Among Top British Environmental Consultancies
·
Front Range
TechBiz Closes
·
SeaWest
Launches New Website
·
The Solar
House: Passive Heating and Cooling
·
Upcoming
Conference: “Carbon as a Commodity”
ELECTION CHANGES
COMPOSITION OF LEGISLATURE’S RENEWABLES AND ENERGY EFFICIENCY CAUCUS
The Colorado Legislature’s
bipartisan, bicameral Renewables and Energy Efficiency Caucus, founded in 2000
by seven legislators, goes into the 2003 session with 34 members. Seven members
(Senators Mary Ellen Epps [R-Colorado Springs], Stan Matsunaka [D-Loveland], Pat
Pascoe [D-Denver] and Ed Perlmutter [D-Golden]; and Representatives Kay
Alexander [R-Montrose], Bob Bacon [D-Fort Collins], Jim Snook [R-Alamosa])
will not be returning due to retirements or election losses this month.
The primary goal of the
legislature’s Renewables and Energy Efficiency Caucus is to educate lawmakers
about Colorado’s growing business community involved in these technologies and
to raise awareness of the many benefits of clean new energy technologies.
Two newly elected
legislators have already joined the caucus: Representative (and now
Senator-elect) Ken Kester (R-Las Animas) and Representative-elect Michael
Merrifield (D-Manitou Springs).
The Colorado Coalition for
New Energy Technologies will work closely with members of the Renewables and
Energy Efficiency Caucus in the next legislative session as our coalition
presents informational briefings to legislators featuring presentations by
member companies. The coalition briefings will be conducted under auspices of
the legislative caucus.
Incumbent legislators
returning to the Colorado Renewables and Energy Efficiency Caucus are:
Senators
Bruce Cairns (R-Aurora), Ken Chlouber (R-Leadville), John Evans (R-Parker), Joan
Fitz-Gerald (D-Golden), Ken Gordon (D-Denver), Bob Hagedorn (D-Aurora), Terry
Phillips (D-Louisville), Peggy Reeves (D-Ft. Collins), Stephanie Takis
(D-Aurora), Jack Taylor (R-Steamboat Springs), Ron Tupa (D-Boulder), Sue
Windels (D-Arvada)
Representatives
Gayle Berry (R-Grand Junction), Alice Borodkin (D-Denver), Bill Cadman
(R-Colorado Springs), Mark Cloer (R-Colorado Springs), Timothy Fritz
(R-Loveland), Michael Garcia (D-Aurora), Keith King (R-Colorado Springs), Mark
Larson (R-Cortez), Tom Plant (D-Nederland), Gregg Rippy (R-Glenwood Springs),
Ann Ragsdale (D-Westminster), Andrew Romanoff (D-Denver), Bill Sinclair
(R-Colorado Springs), Matt Smith (R-Grand Junction), Lola Spradley (R-Beulah),
Joe Stengel (R-Littleton), Bill Swenson (R-Longmont), Lois Tochtrop
(D-Westminster), Suzanne Williams (D-Aurora), John Witwer (R-Evergreen)
REPORT RELEASED ON ECONOMIC
BENEFITS OF WIND ENERGY IN COLORADO
—"Wind Energy, the New Crop
Powering Economic Development for Colorado"
On 19 November, a report
released by the
Colorado Public Interest Research Group (CoPIRG) shows wind energy can help
Colorado meet a growing demand for electricity while providing significant
economic development for rural parts of the state.
“Our research demonstrates
wind energy is economical and good for our economy,” stated the co-author of the
report, CoPIRG Energy Associate, Stephanie Bonin. “If we increase our wind
production at a modest rate, rural Colorado can reap over 1 billion dollars in
rural economic benefits in the next 18 years.”
“In the last ten years the
price of wind has dropped from over twenty cents a kilowatt-hour to between
three and five cents – making it cost competitive with new natural gas,” said
Colorado House Speaker-elect
Lola Spradley. “Colorado can be a leader in renewable energy and create an
important engine for economic development in rural Colorado.”
The report looks at the
benefits of meeting half of Colorado’s new demand with wind energy through the
next ten years and then three-quarters of new demand in the following decade.
An investment in wind power of this scale would create 383 million dollars in
rural economic benefits through the year 2012 and 1.2 billion dollars in rural
economic benefits through 2020, including $230 million in additional property
tax payments to rural counties over the next 18 years and $76 million in
royalties paid to farmers, ranchers and landowners.
The CoPIRG report also found
wind farms increase the property tax base and create a new revenue source for
education and other local government services. For example, the 162 MW wind
farm in Lamar will increase the tax base in Prowers County by 29%. In Logan
County a similar wind farm would increase the tax base by about 20%, Phillips
63%, and Sedgwick 85%. Wind farms also create high skilled temporary and
long-term jobs. The report found modest increases in wind production would
yield 5,700 new jobs through 2012 and almost 17,000 permanent and temporary jobs
mostly in rural countries through 2020.
To review the full report
and press release, visit
http://copirg.org/CO.asp?id2=8487&id3=CO&.
Related press coverage of
CoPIRG’s study:
Denver Post, 20 November
“Going for gusto via gusts?”
By Steve Raabe
MAJOR ENERGY EFFICIENCY STUDY RELEASED
—Southwest Energy Efficiency
Project Calls for High Efficiency Scenario
The
Southwest Energy Efficiency Project (SWEEP) has released a study on the
potential for, and benefits from, increasing the efficiency of electricity use
in the southwest states of Arizona, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and
Wyoming. Entitled “The New Mother Lode: The Potential for More Efficient
Electricity Use in the Southwest,” the study models a “Business as Usual” base
scenario and a “High Efficiency” scenario that gradually increases the
efficiency of electricity use in homes and workplaces during 2003-2020.
According to SWEEP, some of
the major regional benefits of pursuing the High Efficiency Scenario include:
-
Reducing average
electricity demand growth from 2.6 percent per year in the Base Scenario to
0.7 percent per year in the High Efficiency Scenario;
-
Reducing total electricity
consumption 18 percent (41,400 GWh/yr) by 2010 and 33 percent (99,000 GWh/yr)
by 2020;
-
Eliminating the need to
construct thirty-four 500 megawatt power plants or their equivalent by 2020;
-
Saving consumers and
businesses $28 billion net between 2003-2020, or about $4,800 per current
household in the region;
-
Increasing regional
employment by 58,400 jobs (about 0.45 percent) and regional personal income by
$1.34 billion per year by 2020;
-
Saving 25 billion gallons
of water per year by 2010 and nearly 62 billion gallons per year by 2020; and
-
Reducing carbon dioxide
emissions, the main gas contributing to human-induced global warming, by 13
percent in 2010 and 26 percent in 2020, relative to the emissions of the Base
Scenario.
SWEEP concludes that these
significant benefits can be achieved with a total investment of nearly $9
billion in efficiency measures during 2003-2020 (in 2000 dollars). SWEEP’s
Director, Howard Geller, points out that “the total economic benefit during this
period is estimated to be about $37 billion, meaning the benefit-cost ratio is
about 4.2. The efficiency measures on average would have a cost of $0.02 per
kWh saved.”
The full report, including
fact sheets, press releases and other materials, is available from SWEEP’s
website at
http://www.swenergy.org/nml/index.html.
Related press coverage of
SWEEP’s study:
Denver Post, 13 November
“Study: Energy plan could save billions”
By Steve Raabe
Rocky Mountain News, 13
November
“Stricter energy standards could aid state, study says”
By Heather Draper
RENEWABLE ENERGY ATLAS OF THE WEST AVAILABLE
—Full-Color Report Showcases
Western Renewable Energy Potential
The “Renewable Energy Atlas
of the West: A Guide to the Region’s Resource Potential” is now available for
purchase. This 80-page, full-color, bound report showcases the opportunities
for development of wind, solar, biomass and geothermal resources in the western
U.S, and estimates the potential power that could be produced from these
resources.
Atlas authors point out that
“[n]ever before has the West’s wind, solar, geothermal, and biomass potential
been mapped so comprehensively and made so easily available to the general
public. The Renewable Energy Atlas uses state-of-the-art GIS technology to
inventory the renewable resources in 11 Western states, mapping the
high-potential areas in full-color. An interactive, online version of the Atlas
allows users to research renewable resources by ZIP code. The Atlas shows
transmission barriers, anticipated regional load growths, and lists
state-specific policies that encourage renewable energy development. Electric
generation potential is also presented for each resource and state. It is a
valuable resource for state and local policymakers, clean energy advocates,
renewable energy developers, ranchers, farmers and others interested in
developing renewable resources in the West.
The Renewable Energy Atlas
was published by coalition member
Land and Water Fund of the Rockies (LAW Fund) in cooperation with
Northwest Sustainable Energy for Economic Development (SEED), with the
support of the
Hewlett Foundation and the
Energy Foundation.
Money raised from Atlas
sales will help cover printing and development costs and help fund the
distribution of high-quality bound copies to key decisionmakers across the West,
including, governors, secretaries of state, state legislators on energy
committees, utilities, utility commissioners, Members of Congress, Bureau of
Land Management officers, county commissioners in key areas, economic
development and Commerce Department officials.
Printed versions of the
Atlas can be ordered for $35 each by contacting Leslie Kaas Pollock by phone,
303-444-1188 x216, or
email. Credit cards are accepted. The full publication and individual
chapters can also be downloaded at
www.EnergyAtlas.org.
COLORADO INDUSTRIES OF THE FUTURE PROGRAM LAUNCHED
—”Working
with Colorado industries to boost energy efficiency, productivity and
environmental performance”
The Colorado Governor’s
Office of Energy Management and Conservation (OEMC) is implementing the
Colorado Industries of the Future program (IOF) with funding from the U.S.
Department of Energy
Office of Industrial Technologies. Current program partners include
Colorado State University, the
Colorado State Forest Service, the
U.S. Forest Service and the Colorado Timber Industry Association.
The IOF program targets nine
industries because of their intensive use of energy and raw materials. Although
these industries comprise only 30% of manufacturing in Colorado by value of
shipments, they consume about 80% of manufacturing energy use. Energy-intensive
industries can reduce operating costs and boost their bottom line by
implementing energy efficiency measures.
The DOE Office of Industrial
Technologies provides about $150 million each year in cost-shared funding for
RD&D. More than $400 million in cost-shared funding will be provided this year
for related projects through the DOE Office of Science and other federal and
private agencies. The Colorado IOF website has information on a variety of
solicitations that can “help take some of the risk out of being an
innovator.”
The Colorado IOF program is
also conducting an
industry survey to solicit advice on energy and technology priorities for
manufacturers across the state.
Additionally, the website
offers links to various sites of interest, including a
newsletter where readers can learn about free energy audits for qualified
manufacturers; free software, databases and technical support; sources of
financing and many other items of information.
GE JOINS EXXONMOBIL AND STANFORD
UNIVERSITY TO DEVELOP ALTERNATIVE ENERGY SOURCES
—”Technology is Key Driver,
Findings to be Shared Globally”
General Electric, the world leader in power generation technology and
services and parent company of coalition member
GE Wind Energy, along with
ExxonMobil, the world’s largest publicly traded petroleum and petrochemical
company, and
Stanford University have announced an unprecedented, multi-million dollar
collaborative research project.
This major energy program,
announced on 20 November and called the Global Climate and Energy Project (G-CEP),
will identify and develop alternative and next-generation energy technologies.
GE notes that this project
is unique in that “the research results will be shared globally with scientists,
governments and other private institutions in order to accelerate the
development of these technologies. Recent reports from scientists have stressed
the need for immediate research in alternative energy sources to avoid an
extremely serious energy shortage in the future.”
“The challenge before the
world is to find energy systems that will meet rising demand and at the same
time lower greenhouse gas emissions,” said Scott Donnelly, Senior Vice President
of GE Global Research. “There is no one organization or institution that can
meet this challenge alone. It will take unprecedented partnerships, such as G-CEP,
to discover the technologies that will power the world in the future. We are
proud to be involved in this very important collaboration, which is a natural
extension of the critical research we have been conducting in hydrogen, fuel
cells, solar and wind technologies.”
This significant alliance
will involve Stanford engineers and scientists along with scientists and other
resources from GE, ExxonMobil and other corporations. The total investment for
the project is up to $225 million over the next 10 years, with $50 million being
invested by GE, up to $100 million from ExxonMobil, and $25 million from
Schlumberger, a global technology services company.
According to the alliance’s
members, energy sources that will be researched involve a wide array of
technologies including advanced transportation systems, the production,
distribution and use of hydrogen and biomass fuels, geoengineering, combustion,
power storage, and renewable energy sources such as wind and solar.
POINT-COUNTERPOINT ON FEDERAL CLIMATE-CHANGE POLICY
“Green States”
Editorial from
Washington Post, 17 November:
“In the absence of a
national policy, states are beginning to take steps to reduce America’s
contributions to global warming. President Bush shied away from requiring
companies to report their emissions of atmosphere-warming greenhouse gases;
Wisconsin implemented a mandatory reporting system. Congress couldn’t pass a
national standard to boost the amount of electricity produced from renewable
sources; 15 states (including Texas under then-Gov. Bush) have imposed their
own…States are demonstrating that it is possible to take meaningful steps now to
lower emissions of the gases that scientists believe are contributing to a rise
in global temperatures.”
“The range of state efforts,
catalogued in a new report from the Pew Center on Global Climate Change, is not
just an example to federal policymakers of what can be done. It’s also a signal
that many responsible officials, like many business leaders, recognize the
wisdom of acting sooner rather than later. A patchwork of local requirements
will be a headache for businesses; in many cases, states aren’t the ideal venue
for such regulation. But if the patchwork increases pressure on the federal
government to stop ducking, that’s not so bad.”
“The administration last
week unveiled its latest move on global warming -- a detailed, far-ranging
agenda for climate and warming research. More study is good: There is much
still to be learned about climate science. But much already is known, and the
longer Mr. Bush waits to act on that knowledge, the steeper the eventual price
will be. Responsible leaders are reacting at the international and local level:
When will the president catch up?”
“Bush is Pacesetter”
Op-ed by Senator James M.
Inhofe (R-Okla.) From
USA Today, 19 November 2002
“President Bush’s approach
to the issue of global-climate variability has produced some of the most
underreported environmental successes of this administration.”
“America has set new,
concrete goals for reducing emissions, has dramatically increased funding for
research and technology and is working with more than two dozen countries on
joint efforts. This approach recognizes that sustained economic growth is the
solution, not the problem: A nation that grows its economy can better afford
investments in efficiency and new technology that result in a cleaner
environment.”
“The president has set an
ambitious but realistic goal: to reduce emissions relative to the size of our
economy by 18% during the next decade. Efficiencies already achieved through
his programs prevent 45 million metric tons of emissions each year. And he has
challenged business to develop agreements to go further. His goal will
accelerate this positive trend another 30%, the equivalent of taking 70 million
cars off the road.”
“Policy must be guided by
sound science, and the president has provided the resources needed to study the
significant uncertainties that remain…The president’s 2003 budget provides far
more than any other administration, $4.5 billion, for climate-related programs,
an increase of $700 million. This includes $3.9 billion for basic research and
the development of advanced clean-energy technologies…The president also seeks
$4.6 billion during the next five years in tax credits for renewable-energy
investments such as wind and solar power, fuel-cell vehicles and
energy-efficient technologies.”
[…]
“America is more engaged
than ever in meeting the challenge of climate variability with smart policies
that guide concrete actions today and provide for even more progress ahead.”
DOE RELEASES STRATEGIC PLAN
FOR EFFICIENCY, RENEWABLES
The U.S. Department of
Energy’s (DOE)
Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) released its
strategic plan on 7 November. According to David Garman, DOE Assistant
Secretary for EERE, the new strategic plan highlights the office’s role in
addressing the National Energy Policy and describes how EERE is incorporating
the President’s Management Agenda and the recommendations from the EERE
Strategic Program Review (completed in March) into the office’s new way of doing
business.
As spelled out in the
strategic plan, EERE aims to dramatically reduce U.S. dependence on foreign oil,
reduce the burden of energy prices on the poor, increase the viability and
deployment of renewable energy technologies, increase the reliability and
efficiency of our nation’s electrical power systems, increase the energy
efficiency of buildings and appliances, increase the energy efficiency of
industry, and spur the creation of a domestic bioindustry. The office also
looked inward and pledged to change the way it does business. Along with
details on how EERE will achieve all these goals, the strategic plan includes a
listing and description of each of the 11 EERE programs that were formed when
the office reorganized in the summer of 2002.
The new EERE strategic plan
and Assistant Secretary Garman’s announcement are available for viewing and
downloading on the EREN Web site at
http://www.eren.doe.gov/eere/spmemo.html.
From
EREN Network News, 13 November 2002
ENERGY-EFFICIENT HOMEBUILDERS HONORED
Seven homebuilders from
throughout Colorado were recognized on 14 November for constructing
energy-efficient homes in an award ceremony presented by Energy Star for Homes,
a program of the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency and coalition member
E-Star Colorado™. E-Star points out that these are the most energy
efficient homes in the state —homes that use less energy, are more comfortable,
save their owners money and reduce the impact of housing development on the
environment.
Megan Edmunds, Director of
E-Star Colorado™, noted that this year’s award-winning builders are adhering to
energy efficiency standards voluntarily, because they know that doing so makes
good business sense. “We are very proud of the exceptional efforts of each of
these builders and are thrilled to recognize them for their contributions to
residents, local communities and our state as a whole.”
Wonderland Hill Development
Co., Centex Homes, Engle Homes, Habitat for Humanity, Balanced Construction,
Tierra Concrete Homes and Kurowski Development Co. were honored for voluntarily
adhering to energy efficiency standards.
For more information on
E-Star Colorado™ and its programs, visit
http://www.e-star.com/.
R&D
MAGAZINE’S “R&D 100” AWARDS PRESENTED
—Coalition Members Honored
for Cutting-Edge Technology Implementation
In its October issue,
R&D Magazine announced its 40th Anniversary R&D 100 Awards. Among the
recipients were coalition members
BP Solar and
Toyota Motor Corp., along with Colorado’s
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL).
“Glass Produces Energy”
BP Solar and NREL were
honored for their development and implementation of the Power-View Photovoltaic
Module: structural material/solar panels that provide 17% of a gas station’s
electricity supply. More than 150 gas stations incorporate the Power-View
Photovoltaic Module, which were developed by a research team led by NREL’s
Robert Oswald and Frank Liu along with BP Solar.
“Hybrid Engine Helps
Environment”
Toyota Motor Corp. was
honored for its development of an improved hybrid engine. The THS-M (Toyota
Hybrid System-M) increases fuel efficiency and improves passenger comfort.
For full details on these
and other technology innovations featured in the R&D 100, visit
http://www.rdmag.com/features/0209energy23.asp.
“POSITIONING YOUR COMPANY TO ACCESS CAPITAL”
—Speakers Provide Insights
into Accessing Capital in Tight Market
Rick Newton of
Capital Response Group and Sandra Clune of
Clune Capital shared valuable perspectives and insights on 12 November on
how companies can access capital in order to grow in today’s tight capital
market. Sponsored by the Colorado Coalition for New Energy Technologies, CU
Business Advancement Center and the Colorado Environmental Business Alliance,
the briefing by Newton and Clune enjoyed a good attendance and provided
opportunities for participants to interact with the presenters and with other
companies at the event.
We hope to do more seminars
similar to “Positioning Your Company to Access Capital” in the future and invite
suggestions and comments regarding topics of interest.
STATE CHALLENGES, STATE OPPORTUNITIES IN ENERGY POLICIES
—New REPP Tools Available
for Developing Efficiency and Renewable Projects
The
Renewable Energy Policy Project (REPP) has announced the release of several
tools that it feels will “reduce uncertainty, increase understanding, and
provide important support for creative state responses” to developing new
renewable energy and energy efficiency policies.
In its 25 October
announcement, REPP notes that “[a]ttempts to encourage new renewable development
as part of major federal energy legislation seem headed toward stalemate. If
stalemate is all that comes from the federal effort, state initiatives may
provide the best opportunities for the near future. States have shown
willingness to experiment with new policies. In addition, many states face
major energy/environmental challenges. State efforts are complicated, however,
by uncertainty as they sort out their response to the push to deregulate
electric markets.”
REPP has developed several
tools it feels can reduce uncertainty, increase understanding, and provide
important support for creative state responses. These interactive tools deal
with
System Benefit Funds,
Renewable Portfolio Standards and
NOx Emission Abatement.
More information on these
and other resources are available on REPP’s
website.
EIA
ISSUES REPORT ON RENEWABLE ENERGY INDUSTRY IN 2001
—Solar Shipments Surge; Wind
Energy Soars; Hydroelectric Generation Drops
Shipments of solar
photovoltaic (PV) cells and modules expanded 11 percent to nearly 98,000 peak
kilowatts in 2001, according to information released on 20 November by the U.S.
Department of Energy’s
Energy Information Administration in the report, “Renewable Energy Annual
2001.” An 80-percent surge in domestic shipments to a record 36,310 peak
kilowatts led this growth, which was tempered by the first decrease in PV
exports in more than a decade. Shipments of solar thermal collectors grew 34
percent to more than 11 million square feet.
While solar shipments have
increased, total renewable energy consumption dropped to 5.668 Quadrillion Btu,
the lowest level in over 12 years. This was primarily due to a 23-percent drop
in hydroelectric power generation caused by below normal levels of precipitation
in the Pacific Northwest. As a result, renewable energy’s share of U.S. energy
consumption declined modestly to under 6 percent in 2001 and biomass overtook
hydroelectric power as the most important source of renewable energy for the
first time since 1992.
Other highlights from
Renewable Energy Annual 2001 include:
-
Wind electric power plant
net summer capacity expanded by over 70 percent to 4,062 megawatts in 2001.
-
Biomass energy consumption
decreased 3 percent to 2.854 Quadrillion Btu, mainly in the residential and
industrial sectors.
-
Ethanol consumption by the
transportation sector expanded 6 percent.
-
Five states, Washington,
California, Oregon, New York, and Idaho, provided 62 percent of total
renewable net electric generation, which stood at 356 billion kilowatt-hours
in 2000 (the latest year for which state data is available).
“Renewable Energy Annual
2001” can be viewed and downloaded from EIA’s website at
http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/solar.renewables/page/rea_data/rea_sum.html.
EIA
ISSUES ANNUAL ENERGY OUTLOOK 2003
—Natural Gas Prices
Predicted to Rise; Slow Growth Predicted for Renewables
With natural gas demand
projected to grow 54 percent by 2025, U.S. natural gas supplies will
increasingly depend on large, new domestic and imported supply projects,
according to the U.S. Department of Energy’s
Energy Information Administration (EIA), which today released the reference
case forecast from its “Annual Energy Outlook 2003” (“AEO2003”).
EIA reports that growth in
domestic natural gas supplies will primarily depend on two sources: increased
unconventional natural gas production (e.g., tight sands, coalbed methane,
shale), much of it out of the Rocky Mountain region, and construction of an
Alaskan natural gas pipeline that delivers gas supplies to the lower 48 States
starting in 2021. Growth in imported natural gas supplies will depend on
expansion of LNG imports and pipeline imports from Canada.
Natural gas prices are
projected to increase in an uneven fashion due to the completion of new natural
gas projects such as the Alaskan pipeline and LNG facilities. In the long run,
EIA projects average natural gas prices to move higher as technology
improvements and new supply sources prove unable to completely offset the
effects of resource depletion and increased demand.
Other forecast highlights in
EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2003 include:
-
The U.S. economy, as
measured by gross domestic product (GDP), is projected to grow at an average
annual rate of 3.0 percent from 2001 to 2025. Total energy demand is
projected to increase from 97.3 to 139.1 quadrillion British thermal units
(Btu) between 2001 and 2025, an average annual increase of 1.5 percent.
-
The energy intensity of
the U.S. economy, measured as energy used per dollar of GDP, is projected to
decline at an average annual rate of 1.5 percent through 2025, as continued
efficiency gains and structural shifts in the economy offset growth in the
demand for energy services. Per capita energy use is projected to increase in
the forecast, with growth in demand for energy services only partially offset
by efficiency gains. Per capita energy use increases by 0.7 percent per year
between 2001 and 2025.
-
The average world oil
price is projected to increase from $22.01 per barrel (2001 dollars) in 2001
to $26.57 per barrel by 2025, largely due to the impact of higher projected
world oil demand. In nominal dollars, the average world oil price reaches
$48.11 per barrel in 2025.
-
U.S. petroleum demand is
expected to become increasingly dependent on imports. Net petroleum imports,
including both crude oil and refined products, are expected to account for 68
percent of total petroleum demand by 2025, up from 55 percent in 2001.
-
While the share of
electricity generated with natural gas is projected to increase from 17
percent in 2001 to 29 percent in 2025, coal remains the primary fuel for
electricity generation through 2025. The coal share is projected to decline
from 52 percent in 2001 to a still-dominant 48 percent in 2025. Seventy-four
gigawatts of new coal-fired generating capacity are expected to be constructed
between 2001 and 2025.
-
While no new nuclear
plants have been built in many years in the U.S., the existing facilities have
substantially improved their performance and reduced operating costs. Total
nuclear capacity is projected to increase from 98.2 gigawatts in 2001 to a
peak of 100.4 gigawatts by 2006 as a result of capacity uprates before
declining to 99.6 gigawatts by 2025.
-
Total renewable
electricity generation, including combined heat and power (CHP), is projected
to increase from 298 billion kilowatt-hours in 2001 to 495 billion
kilowatt-hours by 2025, an increase of 2.1 percent per year. Renewable
technologies are projected to grow slowly because of the relatively low costs
of fossil-fired generation and because competitive electricity markets favor
less capital-intensive natural gas technologies over coal and baseload
renewables in the competition for new capacity. State renewable portfolio
standards, which specify a minimum share of generation or sales from renewable
sources, are considered in the forecast as are extension of the Federal
Production Tax Credit for wind and biomass.
-
Average real (2001
dollars) electricity prices are projected to decline from 7.3 cents per
kilowatt-hour in 2001 to a low of 6.3 cents per kilowatt-hour by 2007 due to
cost reductions in an increasingly competitive market faced with excess
generating capacity resulting from the recent boom in construction and the
continued decline in coal prices. After 2007, average real electricity prices
are projected to increase by 0.4 percent per year as a result of rising
natural gas prices and a growing need for new generating capacity to meet
electricity demand growth. Real electricity prices reach 6.7 cents per
kilowatt-hour by 2025.
-
The projection does not
include future policy actions that might be taken to reduce carbon dioxide
emissions. Thus, carbon dioxide emissions from energy use are projected to
increase from 1,559 to 2,237 million metric tons between 2001 and 2025, an
average annual increase of 1.5 percent. The carbon intensity of the economy,
measured as energy-related carbon dioxide emissions per dollar of gross
domestic product, declines at an average annual rate of 1.5 percent per year
through 2025.
Reference case projections
from the “Annual Energy Outlook 2003” and an overview of the results can be
accessed on EIA’s website at
www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/index.html. The full report, including projections
with differing assumptions on the price of oil, the rate of economic growth, and
the characteristics of new technologies, will be released in early January 2003,
along with regional projections and a report on the major assumptions underlying
the projections.
URS CORPORATION AMONG TOP BRITISH
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSULTANCIES
—New Report on U.K.
Environmental Consultancies Released
The UK market for
environmental consultancy services is continuing to outperform the economy by a
considerable margin, achieving year-on-year growth of 10%, according to a new
study from
ENDS, an independent publishing company that serves environmental
professionals. Environmental consultancy has been a largely unheralded success
story of the UK economy for more than a decade. Its turnover has grown from
£150 million in 1988 to over £900 million today. More than 720 companies are
now active in the field, employing around 18,000 full-time staff. The sector’s
expansion has been driven primarily by environmental legislation, with corporate
reputational concerns emerging more recently as an important growth factor.
According to the recently
released “ENDS Environmental Consultancy Market Analysis UK 2002/03,” coalition
member
URS Corporation is one of the UK’s top environmental consultancy operators
by revenue. For further information and/or press review copies of this report,
contact its editor,
Liz Trew or visit
http://www.endsdirectory.com/.
FRONT RANGE TECHBIZ CLOSES
On 5 November, Su Hawk,
publisher of
Front Range TechBiz, announced the immediate closure of the newspaper. In a
statement, Hawk writes that the newspaper was first launched in July of 2001 to
bring news, trends and issues regarding Colorado’s innovative and intelligent
technology community.
Hawk said “[w]e focused on
bringing you stories and information you would find nowhere else and to be your
advocate to buoy up the importance of and shared insights of great innovation
and technology throughout the state of Colorado…However, we all know the economy
hasn’t been kind since July of 2001, and companies’ marketing programs have been
drastically affected. Because the outlooks for 2003 are less than encouraging,
our corporate parent had to make the very difficult decision today to close our
doors, and that of our sister publication, Potomac Tech Journal, based in
Washington, D.C.”
Front Range TechBiz and its
reporters provided excellent coverage of activities of the Colorado Coalition
for New Energy Technologies and its member companies. It demonstrated the close
link between new energy technologies and Colorado’s innovation economy. Its
closure creates a void in the state’s media arena.
SEAWEST LAUNCHES NEW WEBSITE
Coalition member SeaWest
Windpower reports that it has launched its new website at
www.seawestwindpower.com. Christian Engsted, SeaWest’s President & CEO,
writes: “With recent developments at SeaWest, as well as in the wind energy
industry, I encourage you to come see what’s new…You can also request SeaWest’s
Corporate Profile on DVD by ordering it at
http://www.seawestwindpower.com/services/order.html.”
THE
SOLAR HOUSE: PASSIVE HEATING AND COOLING
—New Book Provide Tools for
Designing and Building Passive Solar Homes
Chelsea Green Publishers has announced the publication of “The Solar House:
Passive Heating and Cooling,” by Colorado’s Dan Chiras. In its announcement,
Chelsea Green writes:
“In methodical detail, Dan
provides contemporary readers with all of the necessary tools for designing and
building passive solar homes. While acknowledging the efforts of previous solar
home designers, Dan highlights many egregious errors that have been made in the
past, and shows how to avoid them. Dan also covers many subjects not found in
competing titles, including passive cooling, the suitability of natural building
materials for passive design, maintenance of air quality in airtight
energy-efficient solar homes, environmentally responsible backup heating
systems, sustainable design strategies, and computer software for designing
energy-efficient passively conditioned homes. This book is a must for any one
interested in saving money, living comfortably, and protecting the Earth.”
This 275-page book is
available from Chelsea Green for $29.95.
UPCOMING CONFERENCE:
Carbon as a Commodity
3-4 December, Denver
Sponsored by the Colorado
Chapter of the Soil and Water Conservation Society (SWCS), the intent of this
technical training conference is to address current policy on carbon in terms of
storage —who stores it and where— the potential for sustainable and
environmentally friendly storage and other issues associated with carbon
trading.
Organizers note that a
unique feature of the conference will be the gathering of producers and
researchers who can provide practical information about carbon storage and
discuss information about policy issues, projects, and potential markets for
sequestered carbon. Plenary sessions and breakout sessions are designed to
bring together resource persons and attendees for discussion and development of
recommendations of approaches where a resource might be suitable for
sequestration of carbon and its potential for sustainable accumulation of
sufficient quantities of carbon for trading.
This conference will take
place at the Renaissance Hotel, 3801 Quebec Street in Denver. More information
is available at
http://www.ccswcs.org/decconf.htm.
For a full list of other
upcoming events, visit
http://www.newenergytechnologies.org/colorado/events/.
E-mail notification of this
newsletter’s availability on
www.newenergytechnologies.org is circulated to members of the Colorado
Coalition for New Energy Technologies and other interested parties. Please let
me know if you would like to be added to or removed from the distribution list.
Additional member-only
updates are provided to coalition members as events warrant. If your business
or non-profit organization is interested in coalition membership, please contact
me for more information.
The website of the Colorado
Coalition for New Energy Technologies at
www.newenergytechnologies.org provides full information on our coalition’s
activities, as well as copies of previous newsletters, links to coalition
members and other sites of interest, a calendar of events and other features
designed to be useful to the state’s clean-energy business community.
Please continue to keep in
touch on any matters related to energy issues and let me know if I can provide
any help or information to you.
Craig Cox
Executive Director
Colorado Coalition for New
Energy Technologies
303-679-9331
cox@newenergytechnologies.org
www.newenergytechnologies.org
The Colorado Coalition for New Energy Technologies brings together businesses
and non-profit groups to encourage environmentally responsible economic growth
through the efficient use of Colorado’s abundant and clean sources of energy.
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